7 Game Parlay Odds
You may have heard the term “parlay” in reference to someone combining one asset with another to achieve success. “I bought a new propane grill, and combined with my shopping skills I parlayed that into a great family cookout.”
At the casino or on a sports book, to parlay means something similar. Easily the most popular of all exotic wagers in sports betting, a parlay (or “combo”) is a collection of 2 or more sides or totals that you place a wager on and all of them must win in order for you to cash in. MLB, NFL and NBA Parlay Rules. 3) One advantage parlay betting does have is you can forecast how one game will play out and fill two legs of a two team parlay with the spread and total, making it a correlated parlay. Correlated parlays can work to the bettor’s advantage. The most common correlated parlay is betting the underdog and the under or the favorite and the over. The only downside to making a parlay bet is that all wagers must hit, otherwise the entire bet is a bust. It can be a tad confusing when you’re trying to combine odds and/or determine the overall payout of your total wagers on multiple games. Enter Odds Shark’s parlay tool, a great instrument you can use before making your picks.
At the casino or on a sports book, to parlay means something similar. Easily the most popular of all exotic wagers in sports betting, a parlay (or “combo”) is a collection of 2 or more sides or totals that you place a wager on and all of them must win in order for you to cash in.
MLB, NFL and NBA Parlay Rules
Most bettors love the idea of having a chance at a big payoff from a small wager. But parlays are hard to win, and come with a strict set of rules. Let’s look at some of the ins and outs.
Bookies offer this category of wager to lure the gambler into a tough situation. For instance, on a 4-team parlay, going 3-1 is no different than going 0-4. You lose in either case. However, if you’d placed 4 individual bets and won 3 while losing 1, you would make a decent chunk of change. But you would have saved yourself a lot of money by betting the combo instead of placing 4 individual bets if you went 0-4.
“Correlated” outcomes are strictly against the rules, which means you cannot benefit from results that are related to one another. For instance, a finesse passing team might be pitted against a strong defensive unit in the Super Bowl. If you pick the latter squad, you cannot place a combo bet on the “under,” since that outcome is more likely to occur if the strong defense controls the contest.
Below is a table that lists the chances of hitting a combo if all wagers are “pick’em,” or evenly-matched “coin flip” scenarios – what sports books give you for each ratio, and the chance of a winner if you hit 55%. Obviously, if you’re a 55% handicapper, then there are good deals in the offing. This table shows the odds for 2-team combos all the way up to 11 teams.
| # of Teams | Your chances at 50% | Payout in Vegas | Your chances at 55% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 2.3/1 |
| 3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 5.0/1 |
| 4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 9.9/1 |
| 5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 18.9/1 |
| 6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.1/1 |
| 7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 64.7/1 |
| 8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 118.4/1 |
| 9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 216.1/1 |
| 10 | 1,023/1 | 700/1 | 393.8/1 |
| 11 | 2,047/1 | 1,200/1 | 716.8/1 |
As you can see, for the normal bettor who only hits on 50% of their wagers, trying for a 4-0 (or 3-0, or 2-0) record on the same day is a bad idea. It gets worse the more wagers you add. A 2-teamer isn’t terrible because you expect to hit 1 out of each 3 you bet, and you get rewarded 2.6 to 1. A 3-teamer isn’t that bad either because your expected chances are 7-1, while you get paid 6-1.
Avoiding “Sucker” Bets On Sports Book Parlays
Where you really see the biggest sucker bets are the 4-team combos. These wagers only work 1 out of every 15 times, yet you only get paid 10-1. Picking 8 winners and 0 losers only scores a hit once in every 255 times, but you only get paid 150-1 if successful. The 11-team parlay hits 1 out of every 2,047 times, and the payout is based on only just over 50% of that ratio.
Most of the general betting public doesn’t realize that 55% is an excellent winning percentage when it comes to sports betting. But the table also illustrates that if you pick 55% victorious teams/athletes, then every single combo listed is a profitable wager over the long term. The chances of hitting an 11-teamer drop from 2,047-1 to 716.8-1 when you pick 55%. Considering you get paid out 1,200-1, it actually isn’t a bad deal for the 55% handicappers.
The Lines Don’t Always Favor Betting Parlays
In conclusion, I almost never recommend betting parlays for newer cash players. There are times when I’ll put out a 2-team combo on a football game if 2 favorites are being under-valued, but only a of couple times a year. Your best move is to stick to straight bets in football and basketball with the point spreads and totals.
Sometimes, conference vs conference match-ups are a good opportunity for a successful combo wager if 1 of the 2 conferences is under-valued. For instance, ACC football went 4-0 vs the SEC on a Saturday in 2014 – nobody expected that except a few savvy gamblers. Georgia Tech over Georgia was just one of the upsets that took place on that November day as bookies lost out to the ever-popular SEC hype train driving the lines. Another opportunity for this kind of combo bet occurs during early-season conference vs conference “challenge” tourneys in college basketball.
I know it’s tempting to try and strike it rich on a big “trifecta,” but the chances are less in your favor as the number of picks goes up. So have fun, but proceed with caution!
Parlays are a fun way to wager but are also a tough bet to hit. The reason … we have to win each and every leg in order to cash out. As we embark on NFL Week 7, I’ve weighed my options and have come up with a parlay that I think could be a winner.
All odds and lines from Bet365 Sportsbook.
NFL Parlay Picks For Week 7
Parlay Odds Payouts
- Bills -12 (-105)
- Lions +2.5 (-110)
- Seahawks (-180)
$20 stake: $115.95 payout (+479 odds)
Vegas 5 Team Parlay Odds
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7 Game Parlay Odds
This week, I’m taking the biggest favorite of Week 7 (minus the points), an underdog plus the points, and a favorite moneyline with the chance to hedge come Sunday night.
The Bills are the biggest favorite of the weekend but I do not care. The Jets are arguably the worst team in football taking on a playoff team in the Bills. Buffalo already beat the Jets by 10 points in Week 1 and the Bills have improved while the Jets are a total dumpster fire. It’s as if Gang Green is trying to lose games. Fire up the Bills minus the massive 13-point spread.
7 Game Parlay Odds Sportsbook
It’s a parlay so what the heck. Let’s take the Lions on the road in Atlanta to win, but let’s take them plus 3.5 points. Truth is, I think Detroit is the better team and I don’t understand why they’re not favored. If the Lions come through here, we can also hedge before the third game here which just got flexed to Sunday Night Football.
7 Game Parlay Odds Poker
The Seahawks are arguably the best team in football and they’re coming off a bye while their opponent, the Cardinals, have to play a division rival on a short week. I’m only taking the Seahawks moneyline because I think they could win by 3 points rather than the point spread of 3.5, and I’d hate to lose by half a point.